Make the claim
Written before the result is known: the claim, the assumptions, the confidence, the evaluation criteria, the reveal condition, and where possible an expiry date.
Freeze it
Packaged into a canonical file. From here, that file is the prediction — not our later recollection of it.
Seal it
The original is encrypted so it stays private until the reveal.
Publish the commitment
A cryptographic hash of the original goes public. It's a fingerprint. Change one character of the original and the fingerprint changes.
Let reality do whatever it wants
Generally the inconvenient part.
Reveal
When the condition is met, we publish the original and the verification data. Anyone can check that the revealed file produces the same commitment.
SEALED
Nothing published here yet.
That doesn't mean nothing's happening. It means we haven't reached the point where this work deserves a public result.
Nothing published here yet.
That doesn't mean nothing's happening. It means we haven't reached the point where this work deserves a public result.